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Typhoon Soulik (2013)

A storm surge of up to 2m was predicted by GDACS for the Chinese coast (see GDACS storm surge report). In the event no major storm surge was reported.

Satellite data for this event are being added to our database as they become available. There may be some delay between the data being added and the previews/visualisation becoming available. 

The image above shows the track to data, while the image below shows the latest satellite (MTSAT) image for the area.

 

See also www.gdacs.org for the latest alerts and information. More information is available on wikipedia.


Note on forecast of Soulik track (10/7/13) by Jun She, DMI

Comparing forecast made by ECMWF, DMI, NCEP and JMA at 06GMT 10/7/13, there are two scenarios. the landing point predicted by NCEP and ECMWF are at north end of Taiwan (NCEP actually predicted that Soulik will just pass by the north Taiwan), while DMI HIRLAM (with 7.5km horixontal resolution) and JMA predicted that Soulik will land at middle part of the eastern coast of Taiwan. The two forecast scenarios will end up a much different storm surge forecast in Eastern Chinese coast. GDACS prediction is based on the northern track, most likely NCEP prediction. If based on JMA or DMI HIRLAM prediction, the storm surge in Chinese coast will be significantly smaller.

DMI also provides the wave forecast for the region. The significant wave height near the Typhoon track can be as high as 15meters.  


 

Timeline:

  • 12/7/13: News stories added.
  • 10/7/13: Alert raised to red (GDACS page)
  • 9/7/13: revised GDACS prediction with increased forecast of maximum surge height (1.9m).
  • 9/7/13: This page created.
  • 8/7/13: First GDACS alert received, decision to activate eSurge Live

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